Publications
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How far ahead could we predict El Nino?
M. Collins, D. Frame, B. Sinha & C. Wilson
Geophysical Research Letters, 29, 10:1492, 31 May 2002. Download pdf (180 KB)
Climate predictability on Interannual to decadal time scales: the initial value problem
M. Collins
Climate Dynamics, 19 (8), 671–692, 18 March 2002. Download pdf (1.8 MB)
Assessing the relative roles of initial and boundary conditions in interannual to decadal climate predictability
M. Collins & M.R. Allen
Journal of Climate, 15 (21), 3104–3109, November 2002. Download pdf (140 KB)
Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change
M. Collins
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 365, 1471–2962, 2007. Download pdf (340 KB)