The attribution of warm November and cold December Central England temperatures

N. Massey, T. Aina, C. Rye, F.E.L. Otto, S. Wilson, R.G. Jones, & M.R. Allen

[in: Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 7, 2012. Download pdf (7.4 MB)

weather@home – development and validation of a very large ensemble modelling system for probabilistic event attribution

Neil Massey, Richard Jones, Friederike Otto, Tolu Aina, Simon Wilson, James Murphy, David Hassell, Hiro Yamazaki and Myles Allen

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.2455

Climate change, climate justice and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat extremes in the California Central Valley

Roberto Mera, Neil Massey, David E. Rupp, Philip Mote, Myles Allen, and Peter C. Frumhoff

Climatic Change, 2015; DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1474-3

Assessing mid-latitude dynamics in extreme event attribution systems

Mitchell, D., Davini, P., Harvey, B., Massey, N., Haustein, K., Woolings, T., Jones, R., Otto, F., Guillod, B., Sparrow, S., Wallom, D. and Allen, M

Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3308-z

Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States

Mote, P., Rupp, D., Li, S. Sharp, D. Otto, F., Uhe, P., Xiao, M., Lettermaier, D., Cullen, H. and Allen, M.

Geophysical Research Letters: 10980-10988.

Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US

Philip W. Mote, Myles R. Allen, Richard G. Jones, Sihan Li, Roberto Mera, David E. Rupp, Ahmed Salahuddin and Dean Vickers

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00090.1

Climate Model Forecast Biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble

Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations

J. Murphy, D. Sexton, D. Barnett, G. Jones, M. Webb, M. Collins & D. Stainforth

Nature, 430, 768–772, August 2004. Download pdf (580 KB)