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Results so far - as presented at the COP10 meeting

The project's first results were published in Nature in January 2005.

Climateprediction.net results were presented to the Tenth Session of the Conference of Parties (COP 10) meeting in Buenos Aires in December 2004. COP 10 will mark the 10th anniversary of the entry into force of the Framework Convention on Climate Change.

 phase 3 results from climateprediction.net (black) and from the Hadley Centre (red)

The figure shows the change in globally averaged surface temperature with time after carbon dioxide values in the atmosphere are doubled. The black lines show the 15 years of phase 3 from 2579 climateprediction.net runs, and the red lines show comparable results from 127 30-year simulations completed by the Hadley Centre on the Met Office's supercomputer.

The spread of results from climateprediction.net is much greater than that from the Met Office, with some models warming less, and some more.

Click here to read Myles Allen's talk at the meeting.




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